By Joseph T. Mahoney
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Additional resources for Economic Foundations Of Strategy (Draft Version)
Expected utility is defined here as the average, weighted by the probabilities of occurrence, of the utilities attached to all possible consequences. In the case of uncertainty, the definition of rationality becomes problematic. Some Difficulties in the Neoclassical Theory. There are difficulties with this neoclassical model of rational man. In the first place, only in the case of certainty does the neoclassical model agree well with common-sense notions of rationality. In the case of uncertainty, especially, there is little agreement, even among exponents of statistical decision theory, as to the "correct" definition of rationality, or whether, indeed, the term "correct" has any meaning here.
Second, performance programs are important parts of the coordination system in the 50 organization. These performance programs help fulfill the needs for inter-departmental predictability. Insofar as performance programs are to function as controls, the programs must be linked to variables that are observable and measurable. March and Simon (1958) expect performance program content to be a function of the ease of observing job activities, the ease of observing job output, and the ease of relating activities to output.
Conflict in Organizations by a Bargaining Outcome. March and Simon (1958) argue that game theory, in its original form, was no more satisfactory than neoclassical economic theory in providing an exact prediction of the outcome of a bargaining situation. What game theory offered was a specification of a set of feasible outcomes -- the "solution" of the game. , what the organization can guarantee to itself without cooperation). Since this feasible range may be quite wide, the theory is not overly helpful for providing reasonably precise economic predictions.